20 August, 2007

The Price You Pay

I've posted parts of the latest bulletin from the National Hurricane Center in Miami. Looks like we're in for quite a blow. We could be without power for an extended period of time. Roger told us of being without power for a month, in Mexico after last year's hurricane. If that's the case, we'll try to figure out a way to let everyone know how we're doing.
Here's the Latest Chart From NOAA/NHC

BULLETIN
HURRICANE DEAN ADVISORY NUMBER 29

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
AL042007
500 AM EDT MON AUG 20 2007

...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS DEAN MOVING SOUTH OF THE CAYMAN
ISLANDS...HEADED FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA

...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF BELIZE AND THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM BELIZE CITY NORTHWARD TO CANCUN. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR JAMAICA WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER THIS MORNING.

A HURRICANE
WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. ...AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS CHANGED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF BELIZE FROM SOUTH OF BELIZE CITY SOUTHWARD TO THE BELIZE/GUATEMALA BORDER. ...DEAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 21 MPH...33 KM/HR...AND A WESTWARD OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WILL BE APPROACHING THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 150 MPH...240 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.

DEAN IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE...AND HAS THE POTENTIAL TO REACH CATEGORY FIVE STRENGTH WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ...ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 926 MB...27.34 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS POSSIBLE IN THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. STORM SURGE FLOODING AND WAVES IN JAMAICA ARE GRADUALLY SUBSIDING.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 9
TO 11 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE DEAN MAKES LANDFALL ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED OVER JAMAICA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 20 INCHES. AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHERN HAITI AND EASTERN CUBA. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

I guess this really is the price you pay to live in paradise.

1 comment:

  1. Anonymous20/8/07 09:28

    D & D:

    Just think you spent 20 some odd yrs planning for emergencies at EMD and now I'm sorry to say, you get to put it into practice. Oh SH_t!

    I've been glued to the WX channel and this AM the report said the eye will pass of Belize City about 495 mile east but the diagram looks like it will be over your area with 5-15 inches of rain. I hope when you got supplies, you also got bailing buckets.

    In you blog, I didn't know you had a dog...knew about the cats but not the dog mmmmmmmmmmmm

    It's great you offered your place as a shelter to others...just anchor down and hold on with everything you got and know that I will be pulling for you and praying at the same time. Wished EMAC traveled into that part of the country because I would volunteer to be there in a FLASH.

    Take care my friends, and try to let me know how things went for ya.

    Love Ya Both,
    Jeanette

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